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Article Dans Une Revue The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems Année : 2019

Influence of petroleum and gas trade on EU economies from the reduced Google matrix analysis of UN COMTRADE data

Résumé

Using the United Nations COMTRADE database we apply the reduced Google matrix (REGOMAX) algorithm to analyze the multiproduct world trade in years 2004-2016. Our approach allows to determine the trade balance sensitivity of a group of countries to a specific product price increase from a specific exporting country taking into account all direct and indirect trade pathways via all world countries exchanging 61 UN COMTRADE identified trade products. On the basis of this approach we present the influence of trade in petroleum and gas products from Russia, USA, Saudi Arabia and Norway determining the sensitivity of each EU country. We show that the REGOMAX approach provides a new and more detailed analysis of trade influence propagation comparing to the usual approach based on export and import flows.

Dates et versions

hal-02058766 , version 1 (06-03-2019)

Identifiants

Citer

Célestin Coquidé, Leonardo Ermann, José Lages, Dima Shepelyansky. Influence of petroleum and gas trade on EU economies from the reduced Google matrix analysis of UN COMTRADE data. The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, 2019, 92, pp.171. ⟨10.1140/epjb/e2019-100132-6⟩. ⟨hal-02058766⟩
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